Gary Barnett's Blog

Canalys has released its Q3 smartphone market data, showing Apple and RIM taking a ton of market share away from Symbian.

Check out detailed information here

Now, I freely admit that I’m an iPhone fan – it’s a rocking phone, wrapped in a business model that is rocking too (for now at least).

But, Canalys seems a little “down” on Droid -

Rather than eating into RIM and Apple’s integrated platform sales, Android appears largely to have cannibalized the use of other free Linux minority platforms and taken the lunch away from Microsoft’s Windows Mobile.

(Pete Cunningham – Canalys)

I think that Pete may well have a point right now – but I expect droid-based phones to put up an increasingly strong showing as time passes. It wont be as quick as supporters of Android like but the ecosystem is still in its very early days.

My wild stab in the dark (and I mean wild stab in the dark) for the next 12 months…

• The number of droid-based phones will grow in number to create the real potential for a world-beathing ecosystem – Provided that droid phone makers don’t rush off in too many directions
• If Apple can negotiate data roaming deals with the leading global mo-telcos then RIM is going to be in big big danger
• Apple needs to be ready to adapt the closed-garden a) for the enterprise and b) for non-commercial apps
• WinMo and Symbian are going to see their share of the market halve.

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